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A cryptocurrency market expert forecasts that Bitcoin could reach $145,000 in the upcoming bull cycle, noting that the digital asset is unlikely to hit this level before the current cycle completes and the market undergoes a comprehensive rebalancing phase.

Long-term technical indicators suggest Bitcoin is entering the early stages of a broader bear cycle, with bearish signals appearing on larger timeframes, particularly the Relative Vigor Index (RVGI), which tracks broader market cycle shifts rather than short-term momentum.

The analysis highlights a recent bearish RVGI crossover on the quarterly chart, historically observed at the start of bear markets rather than at final lows. Historical data shows these signals recur roughly every 15–16 quarters, aligning with Bitcoin’s approximately four-year cycle. This points to a potential market bottom around October 2026.

Momentum indicators support this scenario, with the quarterly Relative Strength Index (RSI) peaking one quarter before the RVGI crossover, then bouncing off a long-term descending trendline—a pattern seen in prior cycle transitions. Any price gains over the next few quarters are expected to be corrective, with new all-time highs likely only in the subsequent bull cycle.

If the cycle’s bottom forms by late 2026, accumulation could continue into mid-2027, with a strong, sustained uptrend potentially driving Bitcoin to $145,000 between late 2027 and 2028. Meanwhile, Bitcoin remains below key moving averages, including the 50-day and 200-day, confirming the current bearish momentum.